Tropical Storm Harvey

Forecast Advisory 4



000
WTNT23 KNHC 031430
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082005
1500Z WED AUG 03 2005

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 68.0W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE 60SE 45SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 68.0W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 68.2W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 31.8N 66.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 32.6N 64.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 33.3N 61.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 34.0N 59.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 35.5N 56.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 38.0N 51.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 41.0N 45.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N 68.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


$$