Tropical Storm Harvey

Forecast Advisory 8

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 040833
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082005
0900Z THU AUG 04 2005

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR BERMUDA IS
DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 64.6W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 45NE 75SE 45SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 64.6W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 65.0W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 32.2N 62.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 32.6N 60.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 32.9N 59.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 33.3N 58.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 35.0N 55.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 37.5N 51.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 40.0N 47.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 64.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

FORECASTER PASCH


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