Tropical Storm Harvey

Forecast Advisory 15

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 060232
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
0300Z SAT AUG 06 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 40.6W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 40.6W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 39.9W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.5N 42.6W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.6N 44.9W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.6N 46.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.7N 49.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.5N 52.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 25.0N 55.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 27.5N 56.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 40.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

FORECASTER BEVEN


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000
WTNT23 KNHC 060235
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082005
0300Z SAT AUG 06 2005


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 57.0W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 25SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 50SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 57.0W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 57.2W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 33.0N 56.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 25SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 34.5N 55.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 36.1N 54.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 38.0N 52.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 42.0N 46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 75SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 45.0N 37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 47.0N 29.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.4N 57.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

FORECASTER BEVEN/MAINELLI


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