Hurricane Hilary

Forecast Advisory 19

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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 232022
TCMEP3
HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082005
2100Z TUE AUG 23 2005


HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 116.2W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 50SE 40SW 25NW.
34 KT.......100NE 150SE 150SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..275NE 275SE 175SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 116.2W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 115.8W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.9N 117.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 21.7N 119.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 22.5N 120.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 23.0N 122.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 24.0N 125.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 24.5N 129.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 24.5N 134.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 116.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

FORECASTER AVILA


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