Hurricane Hilary

Forecast Advisory 20

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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 240236
TCMEP3
HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082005
0300Z WED AUG 24 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 116.6W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 10SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT.......100NE 125SE 125SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 300SE 150SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 116.6W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 116.3W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 21.1N 117.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 21.9N 119.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 22.5N 120.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.0N 122.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 23.5N 126.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 23.5N 130.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 23.5N 134.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 116.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z

FORECASTER COBB/KNABB


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