Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 17

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 082030
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082005
2100Z MON AUG 08 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.8N 46.1W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 175SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.8N 46.1W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.4N 46.9W

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 41.9N 44.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 43.3N 41.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 44.0N 38.3W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 44.6N 36.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 44.5N 32.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 44.0N 31.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 43.5N 30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.8N 46.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM

FORECASTER KNABB


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000
WTNT24 KNHC 082040
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
2100Z MON AUG 08 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 51.5W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 51.5W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 50.9W

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.0N 53.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.6N 55.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 24.3N 57.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.1N 59.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 27.0N 63.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 29.5N 66.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 31.5N 67.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N 51.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z

FORECASTER KNABB


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