Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 20



000
WTNT24 KNHC 091551
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20...CORRECTION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
1500Z TUE AUG 09 2005

...CORRECTED FOR FORWARD MOTION...WEST INSTEAD OF WEST-NORTHWEST

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 53.9W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 53.9W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 53.4W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 22.7N 55.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.6N 57.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 25.0N 60.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 26.3N 62.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 27.7N 64.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 29.1N 66.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 30.0N 67.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 53.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

FORECASTER KORTY


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