Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 27

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 110845
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
0900Z THU AUG 11 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 61.0W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 50SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 61.0W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 60.4W

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 24.9N 62.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 26.0N 64.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 27.0N 66.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 27.9N 68.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 29.5N 71.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 31.5N 73.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 34.0N 75.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N 61.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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