Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 46

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 160230
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
0300Z TUE AUG 16 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 64.4W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 85 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 100SE 70SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 64.4W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 65.0W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 37.1N 62.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 38.2N 59.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 40.4N 56.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 150SE 100SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 43.5N 51.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...125NE 225SE 150SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 52.0N 40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 325SE 200SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 58.0N 32.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.6N 64.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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