Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 47

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 160832
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
0900Z TUE AUG 16 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 63.5W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 100SE 70SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 63.5W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 64.0W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 36.9N 62.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 37.8N 60.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 39.8N 56.7W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 150SE 100SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 44.6N 50.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...125NE 225SE 150SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 53.6N 37.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 325SE 200SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 59.0N 31.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.7N 63.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

FORECASTER STEWART


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