Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 51

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 170833
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 51
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
0900Z WED AUG 17 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 60.1W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 25SE 15SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 90SE 65SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 250SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 60.1W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.5N 60.6W

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 37.7N 57.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 25SE 15SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 65SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 41.0N 52.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 46.7N 46.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 75SE 75SW 0NW.
34 KT...125NE 200SE 200SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 54.7N 39.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 75SE 75SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 350SE 250SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.6N 60.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z

FORECASTER STEWART


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