Tropical Storm Irwin

Forecast Advisory 2

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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 260232
TCMEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092005
0300Z FRI AUG 26 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 107.3W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 107.3W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 106.8W

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.5N 108.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.9N 111.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.2N 113.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.0N 118.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 19.5N 122.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 19.5N 126.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 107.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z

FORECASTER COBB/AVILA


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