Hurricane Jova

Forecast Advisory 5

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000
WTPZ25 KNHC 130250
TCMEP5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102005
0300Z TUE SEP 13 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 119.3W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 119.3W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 118.8W

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 14.8N 121.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 14.6N 123.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 14.5N 125.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 14.4N 127.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 14.0N 132.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 13.5N 136.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 13.5N 140.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 119.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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