Hurricane Jova

Forecast Advisory 10

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000
WTPZ25 KNHC 140832
TCMEP5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102005
0900Z WED SEP 14 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 125.2W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 125.2W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 124.6W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 14.0N 127.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 13.9N 129.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 13.8N 132.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 13.7N 135.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 45SE 45SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 14.0N 139.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 14.5N 143.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 15.0N 147.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 125.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

FORECASTER MOLLEDA/AVILA


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