Hurricane Jova

Forecast Advisory 25

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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 180231
TCMEP1
HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005
0300Z SUN SEP 18 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 128.2W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 80SE 110SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 200SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 128.2W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 127.9W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.6N 129.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 110SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.1N 130.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.6N 130.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.1N 131.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.0N 133.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 17.5N 134.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 18.0N 135.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 128.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH


$$



000
WTPZ22 KNHC 180231
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM LIDIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122005
0300Z SUN SEP 18 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 116.4W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 116.4W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 116.2W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 12.5N 116.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 12.7N 117.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 12.9N 117.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 13.2N 118.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 13.5N 119.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 14.0N 120.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 14.5N 121.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 116.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

FORECASTER PASCH


$$



000
WTPZ25 KNHC 180238
TCMEP5
HURRICANE JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102005
0300Z SUN SEP 18 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 139.6W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 139.6W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 139.3W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 13.4N 140.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 14.0N 141.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 14.5N 142.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.0N 143.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.0N 145.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 17.5N 147.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 20.5N 148.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 139.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH


$$