Hurricane Kenneth
Forecast Advisory 27
000
WTPZ23 KNHC 210830
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM MAX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132005
0900Z WED SEP 21 2005
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 120.1W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 120.1W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 120.0W
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.2N 121.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.3N 122.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.3N 123.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 22.2N 124.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 22.0N 126.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 21.5N 129.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 21.0N 131.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 120.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 210833
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005
0900Z WED SEP 21 2005
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 131.7W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 70SE 80SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 131.7W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 131.6W
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 13.9N 132.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 80SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 14.5N 132.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.0N 133.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.4N 133.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.7N 134.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 18.0N 135.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 19.0N 137.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 131.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH
$$
