Hurricane Kenneth
Forecast Advisory 30
000
WTPZ23 KNHC 220230
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM MAX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132005
0300Z THU SEP 22 2005
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 121.5W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 121.5W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 121.3W
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.8N 122.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.6N 123.1W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 21.3N 123.8W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 21.0N 124.6W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 20.5N 126.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 20.5N 126.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 20.5N 126.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N 121.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 220238
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005
0300Z THU SEP 22 2005
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 133.8W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 133.8W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 133.6W
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.2N 134.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.5N 135.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.6N 136.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.7N 136.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.9N 137.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 16.0N 139.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 16.0N 140.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 133.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH
$$