Hurricane Kenneth

Forecast Advisory 33

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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 222024
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005
2100Z THU SEP 22 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 136.3W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 136.3W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 136.1W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.0N 136.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.1N 137.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.2N 138.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.3N 139.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.4N 140.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 16.5N 141.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 16.5N 142.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 136.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN


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