Hurricane Kenneth

Forecast Advisory 35

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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 230801
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142005
0900Z FRI SEP 23 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 109.3W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 109.3W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 109.0W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.6N 110.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.2N 111.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.9N 112.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 18.7N 116.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 20.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 21.0N 121.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 109.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

FORECASTER STEWART


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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 230853
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005
0900Z FRI SEP 23 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 136.4W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 136.4W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 136.3W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.2N 136.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.2N 137.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.3N 138.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.3N 138.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.0N 140.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 15.8N 141.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 15.6N 143.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 136.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART


$$