Tropical Storm Lee

Forecast Advisory 1



000
WTNT23 KNHC 282022
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132005
2100Z SUN AUG 28 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 46.8W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 46.8W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 46.3W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 16.0N 48.5W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.0N 50.5W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.0N 53.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 19.0N 55.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 20.5N 58.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 22.0N 61.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 24.0N 64.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 46.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

FORECASTER AVILA


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000
WTNT22 KNHC 282042
TCMAT2
HURRICANE KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122005
2100Z SUN AUG 28 2005

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST
FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED THIS
EVENING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM
EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND FROM
WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN FLORIDA
EASTWARD TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...AND FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 89.0W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 902 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 90SE 50SW 90NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 75SW 120NW.
34 KT.......200NE 180SE 125SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 270SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 89.0W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 88.7W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 28.3N 89.8W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 90NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 120NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 125SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 30.6N 89.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 90SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 100SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 33.4N 89.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 36.0N 87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 41.0N 81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 48.0N 72.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 89.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

FORECASTER PASCH


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