Tropical Storm Lee

Forecast Advisory 3



000
WTNT22 KNHC 290830
TCMAT2
HURRICANE KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122005
0900Z MON AUG 29 2005

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST
FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED THIS
EVENING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM
EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND FROM
WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN FLORIDA
EASTWARD TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...AND FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 89.6W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 915 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
50 KT.......110NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 150SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..325NE 250SE 250SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 89.6W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 89.6W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 30.6N 89.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 150SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 33.6N 89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 140SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 36.7N 87.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 25NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 39.8N 84.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 45.5N 76.5W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 51.0N 68.0W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 89.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

FORECASTER STEWART


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000
WTNT23 KNHC 290836
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132005
0900Z MON AUG 29 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 49.4W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 49.4W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 48.9W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.8N 51.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.3N 53.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.7N 55.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 22.0N 57.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.7N 59.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 25.5N 61.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 27.0N 63.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 49.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART


$$