Tropical Storm Lee

Forecast Advisory 5

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 311432
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132005
1500Z WED AUG 31 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 50.4W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 50.4W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 50.8W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 30.0N 49.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 32.0N 48.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 34.0N 47.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 36.0N 46.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 38.0N 45.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 40.0N 44.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 44.0N 39.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 50.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

FORECASTER AVILA


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