Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 5

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 021441
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
1500Z FRI SEP 02 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 50.0W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 50.0W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 49.5W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 22.2N 51.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 24.0N 53.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 26.0N 54.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 28.0N 55.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 30.0N 56.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 33.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 36.0N 58.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 50.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

FORECASTER AVILA


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