Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 9

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 031436
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
1500Z SAT SEP 03 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 53.7W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..275NE 275SE 275SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 53.7W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 53.2W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 26.5N 55.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 28.5N 56.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 30.5N 57.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 32.0N 57.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 34.5N 57.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 36.5N 57.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 38.0N 52.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N 53.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

FORECASTER AVILA


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