Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 14

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 042031
TCMAT4
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
2100Z SUN SEP 04 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 56.1W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 75SE 40SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 200SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 56.1W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 55.9W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 31.7N 56.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 33.3N 56.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 34.7N 55.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 35.8N 54.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 38.5N 51.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 41.0N 46.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 43.5N 40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.3N 56.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

FORECASTER PASCH


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