Hurricane Max

Forecast Advisory 14



000
WTPZ21 KNHC 212037
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005
2100Z WED SEP 21 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 133.9W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 133.9W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 133.6W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 15.3N 134.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.6N 135.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.8N 136.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.0N 137.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.0N 138.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 16.0N 139.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 16.0N 140.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 133.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


$$


000
WTPZ23 KNHC 212039
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM MAX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132005
2100Z WED SEP 21 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 121.2W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 121.2W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 121.0W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.7N 121.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.7N 122.9W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 21.5N 123.9W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 21.0N 125.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 20.5N 126.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 20.5N 126.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 20.5N 126.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 121.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


$$