Hurricane Max

Forecast Advisory 17



000
WTPZ21 KNHC 221427
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005
1500Z THU SEP 22 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 135.7W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 100SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 135.7W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 135.5W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.5N 136.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 100SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.7N 137.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 100SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.8N 137.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 100SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.0N 138.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.0N 140.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 16.0N 141.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 16.0N 142.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 135.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 221428
TCMEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132005
1500Z THU SEP 22 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 122.6W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 122.6W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 122.4W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.8N 123.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 21.5N 124.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 21.1N 124.8W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 20.5N 125.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 20.5N 125.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N 122.6W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


$$