Hurricane Nate

Forecast Advisory 13

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000
WTNT25 KNHC 082029
TCMAT5
HURRICANE NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152005
2100Z THU SEP 08 2005

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 62.0W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 62.0W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 62.7W

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 33.0N 60.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 35.0N 55.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 36.0N 51.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 37.0N 46.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 41.0N 35.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGER LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 62.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z

FORECASTER AVILA


$$



000
WTNT24 KNHC 082045
TCMAT4
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
2100Z THU SEP 08 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 46.8W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 120SE 100SW 90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 225SE 175SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 500SE 450SW 275NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 46.8W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.1N 47.3W

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 40.5N 45.2W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 90SW 75NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 42.0N 43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 90SW 75NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 44.0N 40.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 100SE 100SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 200SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 46.0N 38.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 175SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 53.0N 35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...150NE 175SE 150SW 100NW.
34 KT...330NE 275SE 250SW 225NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 59.0N 32.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 63.0N 27.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N 46.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z

FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA


$$



000
WTNT21 KNHC 082046
TCMAT1
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
2100Z THU SEP 08 2005

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
SOUTHWARD TO SEBASTIAN INLET FLORIDA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM SEBASTIAN INLET NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA
COAST FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA...AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST...SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 79.5W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..160NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 79.5W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 79.5W

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 29.0N 79.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 29.5N 78.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 30.0N 78.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 30.7N 77.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 31.0N 76.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 30.0N 76.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 30.0N 77.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.6N 79.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z

FORECASTER PASCH


$$