Hurricane Nate
Forecast Advisory 14
000
WTNT21 KNHC 090233
TCMAT1
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
0300Z FRI SEP 09 2005
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM SEBASTIAN INLET NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA
COAST FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA...AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST...SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
OPHELIA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 79.3W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..160NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 79.3W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 79.4W
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 29.0N 79.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 29.6N 78.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 30.2N 77.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 30.6N 77.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 31.0N 76.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 30.0N 76.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 30.0N 77.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N 79.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
000
WTNT24 KNHC 090234
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
0300Z FRI SEP 09 2005
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.7N 45.9W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT.......100NE 120SE 100SW 90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 225SE 175SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 500SE 450SW 275NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.7N 45.9W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.4N 46.5W
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 40.7N 44.4W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 90SW 75NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 150SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 42.3N 42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 90SW 75NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 150SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 44.8N 39.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 100SE 100SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 200SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 47.6N 37.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 175SW 175NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 55.0N 33.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...150NE 175SE 150SW 100NW.
34 KT...330NE 275SE 250SW 225NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 60.0N 29.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 64.0N 24.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.7N 45.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
000
WTNT25 KNHC 090237
TCMAT5
HURRICANE NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152005
0300Z FRI SEP 09 2005
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 60.2W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 18 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 30SW 75NW.
34 KT.......200NE 180SE 90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 200SE 150SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 60.2W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 61.1W
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 34.3N 57.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 35.3N 52.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 36.2N 47.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 37.3N 43.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 75SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 44.0N 32.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...ABSORBED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.0N 60.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
FORECASTER RHOME/BEVEN
$$
