Hurricane Nate

Forecast Advisory 19

---

000
WTNT21 KNHC 100840
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
0900Z SAT SEP 10 2005

INTERESTS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH THE CAROLINAS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 76.8W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 65SW 65NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 175SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 76.8W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 76.9W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 31.7N 76.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 31.9N 76.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 32.0N 77.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 32.3N 78.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 33.0N 79.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 34.5N 79.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 37.0N 77.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N 76.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

FORECASTER KNABB


$$



000
WTNT24 KNHC 100849
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
0900Z SAT SEP 10 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.6N 38.6W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE 120SE 120SW 75NW.
34 KT.......150NE 200SE 200SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 500SE 375SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.6N 38.6W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 42.9N 39.2W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 45.8N 36.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 200SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 49.7N 34.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 54.1N 31.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 56.6N 28.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 180SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...250NE 300SE 250SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 62.1N 18.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 60SW 30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 65.5N 2.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 43.6N 38.6W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM

FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB


$$



000
WTNT25 KNHC 100850
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152005
0900Z SAT SEP 10 2005


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 48.1W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 48.1W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 49.1W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 34.8N 45.3W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 35.5N 41.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 125SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 37.2N 36.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 90SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 41.5N 31.8W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 90SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.8N 48.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB


$$



000
WTNT25 KNHC 100851
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152005
0900Z SAT SEP 10 2005


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 48.1W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 48.1W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 49.1W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 34.8N 45.3W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 35.5N 41.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 125SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 37.2N 36.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 90SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 41.5N 31.8W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 90SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.8N 48.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB


$$