Tropical Depression Nineteen
Forecast Advisory 6
000
WTNT25 KNHC 020233
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202005
0300Z SUN OCT 02 2005
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA GRUESA NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM WEST OF CABO CATOCHE WESTWARD TO
CAMPECHE.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 87.0W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 87.0W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 86.7W
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.7N 88.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.3N 90.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.8N 92.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.0N 93.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.5N 96.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 20.0N 98.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 87.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
000
WTNT24 KNHC 020235
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192005
0300Z SUN OCT 02 2005
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 34.0W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 34.0W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 33.8W
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.6N 34.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.2N 35.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.9N 36.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 22.0N 36.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 25.0N 36.5W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 27.5N 36.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 29.5N 34.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 34.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
