Hurricane Ophelia
Forecast Advisory 6
000
WTNT24 KNHC 072029
TCMAT4
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
2100Z WED SEP 07 2005
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.9N 50.4W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
50 KT.......100NE 120SE 100SW 125NW.
34 KT.......150NE 175SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..425NE 425SE 325SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.9N 50.4W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.5N 50.9W
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 37.9N 49.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 150SW 175NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 39.4N 46.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 150SW 125NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 40.8N 44.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 42.5N 42.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 46.5N 38.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 175SW 175NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 52.0N 33.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 58.0N 31.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.9N 50.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN
$$
000
WTNT21 KNHC 072031
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
2100Z WED SEP 07 2005
AT 5 PM EDT 2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH
HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM COCOA BEACH NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER
BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA
COAST FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA...AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 79.4W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..160NE 0SE 0SW 160NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 79.4W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 79.3W
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 29.1N 79.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 29.5N 80.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 30.0N 80.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 30.3N 80.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 30.5N 79.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 30.5N 79.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 30.5N 79.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N 79.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
000
WTNT25 KNHC 072037
TCMAT5
HURRICANE NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152005
2100Z WED SEP 07 2005
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
BERMUDA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 65.8W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 65.8W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 66.0W
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 30.1N 65.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 31.2N 63.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 32.5N 61.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 34.2N 57.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 37.0N 47.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 41.0N 36.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 45.0N 24.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.5N 65.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
$$
