Hurricane Ophelia
Forecast Advisory 8
000
WTNT25 KNHC 080830
TCMAT5
HURRICANE NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152005
0900Z THU SEP 08 2005
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED
THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR BERMUDA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. THE WARNING
WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 64.6W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 64.6W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 65.0W
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 31.2N 63.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 32.9N 60.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 34.5N 55.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 36.0N 50.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 40.0N 38.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 44.0N 28.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 48.1N 18.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N 64.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
000
WTNT21 KNHC 080834
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
0900Z THU SEP 08 2005
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM COCOA BEACH NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA
COAST FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA...AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 79.5W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 35SE 35SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..160NE 40SE 40SW 160NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 79.5W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 79.4W
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 29.0N 79.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 35SE 35SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 29.4N 79.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 35SE 35SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 29.9N 79.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 30.0N 79.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 30.2N 78.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 30.3N 78.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 30.0N 78.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N 79.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
000
WTNT24 KNHC 080839
TCMAT4
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
0900Z THU SEP 08 2005
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 48.5W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
50 KT.......100NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT.......175NE 200SE 175SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..425NE 425SE 360SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 48.5W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.9N 49.0W
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 39.4N 46.9W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 175SW 175NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 41.0N 44.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 150SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 42.4N 42.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 150SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 44.2N 39.9W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 170SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 48.5N 35.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...230NE 230SE 180SW 180NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 54.0N 30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 59.0N 25.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.3N 48.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART
$$
