Hurricane Ophelia
Forecast Advisory 9
000
WTNT25 KNHC 081423
TCMAT5
HURRICANE NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152005
1500Z THU SEP 08 2005
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. THE WARNING
WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 63.2W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 63.2W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 63.8W
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 32.0N 61.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.5N 57.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 35.0N 52.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 36.5N 47.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 39.5N 36.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 44.0N 26.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 50.0N 17.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 63.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
000
WTNT21 KNHC 081432
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
1500Z THU SEP 08 2005
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM COCOA BEACH NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA
COAST FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA...AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 79.6W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..160NE 50SE 50SW 160NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 79.6W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 79.6W
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 28.7N 79.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 29.0N 79.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 29.5N 78.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 30.0N 78.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 31.0N 76.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 31.0N 76.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 30.5N 76.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.6N 79.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
000
WTNT24 KNHC 081441
TCMAT4
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
1500Z THU SEP 08 2005
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N 47.6W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 120SE 100SW 90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 225SE 175SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 500SE 450SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N 47.6W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.7N 48.0W
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 40.2N 46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 175SW 175NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 41.7N 43.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 150SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 43.3N 41.3W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 150SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 45.5N 39.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 170SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 51.0N 35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 75NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 250SW 225NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 56.0N 31.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 61.0N 25.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.1N 47.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA
$$
