Hurricane Ophelia
Forecast Advisory 12
000
WTNT21 KNHC 090834
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
0900Z FRI SEP 09 2005
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM SEBASTIAN INLET NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH...AND A
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH
TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE NORTH OF THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THE CAROLINAS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 79.1W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 75SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 79.1W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 79.3W
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 29.9N 78.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 30.5N 77.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 31.0N 77.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 31.0N 76.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 30.7N 76.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 30.5N 77.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 31.0N 78.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 79.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
$$
000
WTNT25 KNHC 090854
TCMAT5
HURRICANE NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152005
0900Z FRI SEP 09 2005
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 58.1W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 19 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.
50 KT.......120NE 90SE 30SW 75NW.
34 KT.......240NE 180SE 90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 150SE 125SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 58.1W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 59.1W
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 34.3N 55.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 75SE 25SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 35.1N 50.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...180NE 125SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 36.1N 44.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 125SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 37.3N 40.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 45.1N 30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 120SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N 58.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
FORECASTER RHOME/FRANKLIN
$$
000
WTNT24 KNHC 090858
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
0900Z FRI SEP 09 2005
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N 44.1W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT.......120NE 150SE 120SW 90NW.
34 KT.......225NE 250SE 280SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N 44.1W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.7N 44.8W
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 41.2N 42.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 90NW.
34 KT...225NE 250SE 280SW 225NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 43.6N 39.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...100NE 125SE 125SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 250SW 175NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 46.8N 36.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 125SE 125SW 100NW.
34 KT...250NE 300SE 200SW 200NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 50.4N 34.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...125NE 150SE 150SW 125NW.
34 KT...300NE 360SE 200SW 200NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 57.1N 28.9W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 125SW 125NW.
34 KT...420NE 360SE 300SW 300NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 62.0N 24.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 64.5N 18.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.2N 44.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
FORECASTER RHOME/FRANKLIN
$$
