Hurricane Ophelia

Forecast Advisory 14

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 092025
TCMAT1
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
2100Z FRI SEP 09 2005

INTERESTS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH THE CAROLINAS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 78.2W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 15SE 15SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 175SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 78.2W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 78.6W

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 30.6N 78.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 31.3N 77.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 31.5N 77.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 31.6N 78.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 32.0N 79.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 33.0N 80.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 35.0N 79.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.0N 78.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z

FORECASTER AVILA


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000
WTNT24 KNHC 092025
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
2100Z FRI SEP 09 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.6N 41.5W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE 120SE 120SW 45NW.
34 KT.......150NE 200SE 200SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 500SE 375SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.6N 41.5W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.2N 42.2W

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 43.4N 39.7W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 120SE 120SW 45NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 200SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 46.7N 37.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 200SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 50.5N 35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...330NE 300SE 225SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 54.5N 33.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW 100NW.
34 KT...360NE 300SE 275SW 275NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 60.5N 27.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...175NE 150SE 0SW 175NW.
34 KT...360NE 250SE 200SW 360NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 66.0N 14.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.6N 41.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z

FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA


$$



000
WTNT25 KNHC 092028
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152005
2100Z FRI SEP 09 2005


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 52.1W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 21 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 120SE 90SW 45NW.
34 KT.......150NE 210SE 180SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..325NE 150SE 125SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 52.1W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.6N 53.4W

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 35.3N 48.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 140SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 36.0N 44.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...125NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 37.5N 39.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 40.5N 35.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 175SE 125SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 50.0N 26.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...125NE 225SE 75SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.8N 52.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z

FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA


$$