Hurricane Ophelia

Forecast Advisory 15

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 100237
TCMAT1
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
0300Z SAT SEP 10 2005

INTERESTS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH THE CAROLINAS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 77.0W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 25SE 25SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT....... 65NE 65SE 65SW 65NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 175SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 77.0W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 77.5W

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 31.0N 76.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT... 65NE 65SE 65SW 65NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 31.2N 76.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 31.5N 77.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 31.7N 77.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 32.5N 79.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 33.5N 80.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 35.5N 78.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.4N 77.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z

FORECASTER BEVEN


$$



000
WTNT24 KNHC 100238
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
0300Z SAT SEP 10 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.5N 39.8W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE 120SE 120SW 45NW.
34 KT.......150NE 200SE 200SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 500SE 375SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.5N 39.8W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.9N 40.5W

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 44.5N 38.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 120SE 120SW 45NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 200SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 48.2N 35.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 200SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 52.0N 33.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...330NE 300SE 225SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 55.7N 31.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW 100NW.
34 KT...360NE 300SE 275SW 275NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 61.0N 24.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...175NE 150SE 0SW 175NW.
34 KT...360NE 250SE 200SW 360NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 66.0N 9.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.5N 39.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z

FORECASTER BEVEN


$$



000
WTNT25 KNHC 100239
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152005
0300Z SAT SEP 10 2005


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 49.6W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 85 DEGREES AT 21 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 120SE 90SW 45NW.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 49.6W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 50.8W

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 35.2N 45.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 36.1N 41.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 125SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 38.3N 37.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 125SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 42.2N 33.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 125SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.8N 49.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z

FORECASTER RHOME/BEVEN


$$