Hurricane Ophelia

Forecast Advisory 27

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 130248
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
0300Z TUE SEP 13 2005

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE
SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.

AT 11 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH
OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO
SOUND.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO
BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 77.9W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
EYE DIAMETER 90 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 240SE 225SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 77.9W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 77.7W

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 32.4N 78.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 32.9N 78.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 33.7N 77.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 34.6N 77.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 36.0N 75.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 38.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 42.0N 66.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 77.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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