Hurricane Ophelia
Forecast Advisory 47
000
WTNT22 KNHC 172039
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172005
2100Z SAT SEP 17 2005
INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
DEPRESSION. WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES LATER TONIGHT OR ON SUNDAY.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 55.2W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 55.2W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 54.9W
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.6N 56.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.6N 57.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.6N 58.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.6N 59.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.5N 61.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 21.5N 62.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 23.5N 63.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 55.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
000
WTNT21 KNHC 172045
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
2100Z SAT SEP 17 2005
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NOVA SCOTIA
EXCEPT FOR CUMBERLAND AND COLCHESTER COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUMBERLAND AND
COLCHESTER COUNTIES OF NOVA SCOTIA...AND FOR PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.4N 66.3W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 21 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 150SE 90SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 175SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.4N 66.3W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.5N 67.5W
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 44.8N 62.6W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 90SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 47.7N 56.5W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 49.8N 50.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 51.4N 43.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 55.0N 28.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 60.5N 14.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 66.0N 7.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.4N 66.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
