Hurricane Philippe
Forecast Advisory 18
000
WTNT22 KNHC 212034
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172005
2100Z WED SEP 21 2005
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 57.1W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 57.1W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 57.1W
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.8N 57.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.3N 57.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 25SW 25NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 27.8N 58.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 30.5N 59.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 35.0N 56.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 30SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 38.5N 49.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 42.5N 41.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 57.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN
$$
000
WTNT23 KNHC 212052
TCMAT3
HURRICANE RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182005
2100Z WED SEP 21 2005
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR GULF OF
MEXICO COAST FROM PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
EAST OF CAMERON TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA AND FROM SOUTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TO BROWNSVILLE.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO
NORTHWARD.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE RITA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 86.8W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 914 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 60SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT.......150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 175SE 150SW 275NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 86.8W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 86.2W
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 24.5N 88.5W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
50 KT...125NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 125SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.2N 90.6W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
50 KT...125NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 125SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.0N 92.7W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
50 KT...125NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 125SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.0N 94.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT...125NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 125SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 30.5N 97.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 33.0N 97.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 36.0N 96.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 86.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
