Hurricane Philippe

Forecast Advisory 24



000
WTNT22 KNHC 230830
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172005
0900Z FRI SEP 23 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 59.4W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 175SE 0SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 59.4W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 59.0W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 32.6N 60.2W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 34.5N 59.9W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 35.6N 58.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 37.4N 54.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 59.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$


000
WTNT22 KNHC 230839
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172005
0900Z FRI SEP 23 2005

CORRECTED INITIAL POSITION AND ALL FORECAST POSITIONS

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 60.3W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 175SE 0SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 60.3W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 59.5W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 32.0N 61.2W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 33.7N 61.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 35.1N 59.3W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 37.4N 54.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.5N 60.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$


000
WTNT23 KNHC 230853
TCMAT3
HURRICANE RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182005
0900Z FRI SEP 23 2005

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS TO MORGAN
CITY LOUISIANA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF
LOUISIANA EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER
INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN....AND
FROM SOUTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOME PORTIONS OF
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN TEXAS COULD BE DISCONTINUED LATER
TODAY.

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS DISCONTINUED FOR
THE TEXAS COAST SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD AND FOR NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 91.0W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 927 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT.......120NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE 120SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 250SE 250SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 91.0W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 90.7W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.6N 92.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 28.9N 93.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 30.4N 94.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 75SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 31.5N 95.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 33.0N 94.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 33.0N 94.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 33.0N 94.5W...INLAND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.8N 91.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

FORECASTER BEVEN


$$