Hurricane Rita

Forecast Advisory 6



000
WTNT22 KNHC 190829
TCMAT2
HURRICANE PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172005
0900Z MON SEP 19 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 56.0W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 56.0W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 55.9W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.9N 56.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.9N 57.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.9N 57.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.0N 58.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.5N 59.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 26.5N 60.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 29.5N 60.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 56.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

FORECASTER PASCH


$$


000
WTNT23 KNHC 190837
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182005
0900Z MON SEP 19 2005

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS
FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...
EXCLUDING GRAND BAHAMA AND THE ABACOS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
DEERFIELD BEACH SOUTHWARD TO FLORIDA CITY AND CONTINUING WESTWARD
TO EAST CAPE SABLE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...FOR THE SOUTHEAST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS...AND FOR GRAND
BAHAMA AND THE ABACOS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF VILLA
CLARA...MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL
RIO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF
CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...AND CIENFUEGOS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF EAST CAPE
SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FLORIDA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 74.3W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 50SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 40SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 74.3W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 73.9W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 23.1N 76.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 25SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 23.6N 78.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.0N 81.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 24.2N 84.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 24.5N 88.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 75SE 75SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 25.5N 92.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 27.5N 96.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 74.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


$$