Hurricane Rita
Forecast Advisory 8
000
WTNT22 KNHC 192037
TCMAT2
HURRICANE PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172005
2100Z MON SEP 19 2005
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 56.5W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 56.5W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 56.4W
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.7N 56.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.9N 57.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.8N 57.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 23.7N 58.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 27.5N 59.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 31.5N 59.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 36.0N 56.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 56.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART
$$
000
WTNT23 KNHC 192044
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182005
2100Z MON SEP 19 2005
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA.
AT 5 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS MODIFIED WATCHES AND
WARNINGS FOR CUBA. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
CUBAN PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA...MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE HABANA...AND
LA HABANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIENFUEGOS...AND
PINAR DEL RIO.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD TO FLORIDA CITY AND WESTWARD
TO EAST CAPE SABLE...AND FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN
REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EXUMAS AND FOR ANDROS
ISLAND IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM
DEERFIELD BEACH FLORIDA SOUTHWARD TO NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH...AND A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA FROM WEST OF EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO
CHOKOLOSKEE....AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA COAST FROM NORTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE TO ENGLEWOOD.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 76.5W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 76.5W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 75.9W
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 23.7N 78.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 75SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.2N 80.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 24.6N 83.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 20SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 75NE 40SE 40SW 75NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 90SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 24.9N 85.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 40SE 40SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.5N 90.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 27.5N 93.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 30.0N 96.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 76.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
FORECASTER KNABB
$$
