Hurricane Rita
Forecast Advisory 19
000
WTNT22 KNHC 220830
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172005
0900Z THU SEP 22 2005
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 57.2W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 57.2W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 57.1W
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.5N 57.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 28.1N 59.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 25SW 25NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 30.5N 60.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 32.5N 59.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 35.0N 54.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 40SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 37.0N 48.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 38.5N 41.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 57.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
000
WTNT23 KNHC 220832
TCMAT3
HURRICANE RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182005
0900Z THU SEP 22 2005
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS EXTENDED EASTWARD ALONG
THE LOUISIANA COAST TO INTRACOASTAL CITY. A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW
IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA. A HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATER TODAY.
AT 4 AM CDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF LOUISIANA EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
HURRICANE WATCH AREA... FROM EAST OF CAMERON TO MORGAN CITY
LOUISIANA...AND FROM SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST
OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE RIO GRANDE.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE RITA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 88.0W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 897 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 150 KT WITH GUSTS TO 185 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT.......100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 100SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..275NE 200SE 200SW 275NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 88.0W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 87.6W
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.3N 89.3W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 110SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.1N 91.1W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 120SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.2N 92.8W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 120NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 130SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 28.8N 94.3W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 120NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 130SW 190NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 32.0N 95.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE 60SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 34.1N 95.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 34.5N 94.5W...INLAND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.9N 88.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
000
WTNT23 KNHC 220856
TCMAT3
HURRICANE RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182005
0900Z THU SEP 22 2005
...CORRECTED BREAKPOINTS IN TROPICAL STORM WATCH SECTION...
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS EXTENDED EASTWARD ALONG
THE LOUISIANA COAST TO INTRACOASTAL CITY. A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW
IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA. A HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATER TODAY.
AT 4 AM CDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF LOUISIANA EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
HURRICANE WATCH AREA...FROM EAST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY
LOUISIANA...AND FROM SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST
OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE RIO GRANDE.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE RITA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 88.0W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 897 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 150 KT WITH GUSTS TO 185 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT.......100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 100SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..275NE 200SE 200SW 275NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 88.0W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 87.6W
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.3N 89.3W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 110SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.1N 91.1W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 120SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.2N 92.8W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 120NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 130SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 28.8N 94.3W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 120NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 130SW 190NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 32.0N 95.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE 60SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 34.1N 95.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 34.5N 94.5W...INLAND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.9N 88.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
