Hurricane Rita

Forecast Advisory 27



000
WTNT23 KNHC 240833
TCMAT3
HURRICANE RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182005
0900Z SAT SEP 24 2005

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SARGENT TEXAS TO MORGAN
CITY LOUISIANA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE
ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
SOUTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF LOUISIANA EAST OF MORGAN CITY
TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER... INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW
ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND FROM SOUTH OF SARGENT TEXAS TO
PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 93.9W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 937 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT.......120NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..375NE 300SE 275SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 93.9W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 93.5W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 30.9N 94.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 32.3N 94.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 33.0N 94.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 33.5N 93.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 33.5N 93.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 33.5N 93.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 33.5N 93.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N 93.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

FORECASTER BEVEN


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