Hurricane Rita

Forecast Advisory 28

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 241436
TCMAT3
HURRICANE RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182005
1500Z SAT SEP 24 2005

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM
WARNING.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF LOUISIANA EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF
THE PEARL RIVER...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 94.3W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 30SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 120SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 175SE 175SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 94.3W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 94.2W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 32.5N 94.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 34.0N 93.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 34.5N 92.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 34.5N 91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 34.5N 90.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 34.5N 90.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 34.5N 90.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N 94.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

FORECASTER AVILA


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