Tropical Depression Sixteen

Forecast Advisory 4

---

000
WTPZ21 KNHC 152034
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162005
2100Z SAT OCT 15 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 101.5W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 101.5W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 101.5W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 11.0N 101.5W
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 11.0N 102.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 11.0N 103.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N 101.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

FORECASTER AVILA


$$