Tropical Depression Sixteen

Forecast Advisory 13



000
WTPZ21 KNHC 180237
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162005
0300Z TUE OCT 18 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 108.0W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 108.0W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 107.5W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 12.1N 109.3W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 12.0N 111.1W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 12.0N 112.9W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 12.0N 114.7W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 12.0N 118.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 108.0W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM

FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB


$$