Tropical Depression Sixteen

Forecast Advisory 18

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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 201448
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162005
1500Z THU OCT 20 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 118.3W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 118.3W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 117.9W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 13.0N 119.7W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 13.5N 121.1W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 13.9N 122.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 14.2N 122.5W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 14.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 15.0N 124.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 15.0N 125.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 118.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

FORECASTER PASCH


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