Hurricane Stan

Forecast Advisory 6

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000
WTNT25 KNHC 022029
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM STAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202005
2100Z SUN OCT 02 2005


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 89.4W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......105NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..105NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 89.4W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 88.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 21.1N 90.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...105NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.3N 93.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...105NE 75SE 75SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.1N 94.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT...105NE 75SE 75SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.0N 96.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 25SE 25SW 45NW.
34 KT...105NE 75SE 75SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.5N 98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...105NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 89.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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